Description: The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver Estimated delivery 3-12 business days Format Paperback Condition Brand New Description Originally published in 2012; this edition includes a new preface. Publisher Description NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • The groundbreaking exploration of probability and uncertainty that explains how to make better predictions in a world drowning in data, from the nations foremost political forecaster—updated with insights into the pandemic, journalism today, and polling One of The Wall Street Journals Ten Best Works of Nonfiction of the Year "Could turn out to be one of the more momentous books of the decade."—The New York Times Book ReviewMost predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the "prediction paradox": The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future.Drawing on his own groundbreaking work in sports and politics, Nate Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how to seek truth from data. In The Signal and the Noise, Silver visits innovative forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He discovers that what the most accurate ones have in common is a superior command of probability—as well as a healthy dose of humility.With everything from the global economy to the fight against disease hanging on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silvers insights are an essential read. Author Biography Nate Silver is the founder of FiveThirtyEight and the New York Times bestselling author of The Signal and the Noise and On the Edge. He writes the Substack "Silver Bulletin." Details ISBN 0143125087 ISBN-13 9780143125082 Title The Signal and the Noise Author Nate Silver Format Paperback Year 2015 Pages 576 Publisher Penguin Putnam Inc GE_Item_ID:141683417; About Us Grand Eagle Retail is the ideal place for all your shopping needs! With fast shipping, low prices, friendly service and over 1,000,000 in stock items - you're bound to find what you want, at a price you'll love! Shipping & Delivery Times Shipping is FREE to any address in USA. Please view eBay estimated delivery times at the top of the listing. Deliveries are made by either USPS or Courier. We are unable to deliver faster than stated. International deliveries will take 1-6 weeks. NOTE: We are unable to offer combined shipping for multiple items purchased. This is because our items are shipped from different locations. Returns If you wish to return an item, please consult our Returns Policy as below: Please contact Customer Services and request "Return Authorisation" before you send your item back to us. Unauthorised returns will not be accepted. Returns must be postmarked within 4 business days of authorisation and must be in resellable condition. Returns are shipped at the customer's risk. We cannot take responsibility for items which are lost or damaged in transit. For purchases where a shipping charge was paid, there will be no refund of the original shipping charge. Additional Questions If you have any questions please feel free to Contact Us. Categories Baby Books Electronics Fashion Games Health & Beauty Home, Garden & Pets Movies Music Sports & Outdoors Toys
Price: 20.76 USD
Location: Fairfield, Ohio
End Time: 2024-11-16T06:08:31.000Z
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Restocking Fee: No
Return shipping will be paid by: Buyer
All returns accepted: Returns Accepted
Item must be returned within: 30 Days
Refund will be given as: Money Back
ISBN-13: 9780143125082
Book Title: The Signal and the Noise
Number of Pages: 576 Pages
Language: English
Publication Name: Signal and the Noise : Why So Many Predictions Fail--But Some Don't
Publisher: Penguin Publishing Group
Subject: Political Process / Campaigns & Elections, Epistemology, Probability & Statistics / General, Future Studies, Forecasting, Probability & Statistics / Bayesian Analysis
Publication Year: 2015
Item Height: 1.1 in
Type: Textbook
Item Weight: 16.6 Oz
Author: Nate Silver
Item Length: 8.4 in
Subject Area: Mathematics, Political Science, Philosophy, Social Science, Business & Economics
Item Width: 5.4 in
Format: Trade Paperback
